Showdown: Memphis 2026 — Meta Fitness
United States
SAGE
149
8 rounds + Top Cut
Expected win rates if each hero faced a random opponent from this tournament's field. Weighted by actual hero representation.
Rolling Window Analysis
Meta Period:
Compendium of Rathe Release Season
Total Matches Analyzed:
26569
Analysis Window:
Jan 19, 2026 - Jul 24, 2026
Window Duration:
186 days (includes 25 buffer days)
Analysis includes 25 buffer days before meta start for statistical confidence. "Insufficient data" means <60% of hero's matchups have ≥10 matches each.
22 heroes • 149 players • Based on meta expectations
| Hero | Positioning | Expected Win Rate | vs Baseline | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Valda Brightaxe | Excellent | 63.2% | +13.2% | |
Players using Valda Brightaxe in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Terra | Excellent | 61.1% | +11.1% | |
Players using Terra in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Oldhim | Excellent | 59.5% | +9.5% | |
Players using Oldhim in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Ira, Crimson Haze | Excellent | 56.1% | +6.1% | |
Players using Ira, Crimson Haze in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Briar | Excellent | 55.5% | +5.5% | |
Players using Briar in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dorinthea | Good | 54.8% | +4.8% | |
Players using Dorinthea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kano | Good | 54.8% | +4.8% | |
Players using Kano in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Bravo, Flattering Showman | Good | 54.0% | +4.0% | |
Players using Bravo, Flattering Showman in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kayo | Neutral | 50.3% | +0.3% | |
Players using Kayo in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Vynnset | Neutral | 50.2% | +0.2% | |
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 Aurora 7% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 48.9% | -1.1% | |
Players using Aurora in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Florian | Poor | 47.7% | -2.3% | |
Players using Florian in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Riptide | Poor | 47.4% | -2.6% | |
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 Rhinar | Poor | 46.3% | -3.7% | |
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 Fai | Poor | 46.3% | -3.7% | |
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 Dash | Poor | 45.0% | -5.0% | |
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 Kavdaen, Trader of Skins 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 43.2% | -6.8% | |
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 Lexi | Very Poor | 39.4% | -10.6% | |
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 Dromai | Very Poor | 33.0% | -17.0% | |
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 Nuu | Very Poor | 30.1% | -19.9% | |
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 Viserai 2% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 28.3% | -21.7% | |
Players using Viserai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Maxx Nitro 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 27.4% | -22.6% | |
Players using Maxx Nitro in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
Tournament Meta Summary
8
Well-Positioned Heroes
3
Neutral Heroes
11
Poorly-Positioned Heroes
47.4%
Average Expected WR
Meta Analysis: Highly diverse meta (10.1%)