Showdown: San Diego 2026 — Meta Fitness
United States
SAGE
98
7 rounds + Top Cut
Expected win rates if each hero faced a random opponent from this tournament's field. Weighted by actual hero representation.
Rolling Window Analysis
Meta Period:
Compendium of Rathe Release Season
Total Matches Analyzed:
10613
Analysis Window:
Jan 19, 2026 - Jun 5, 2026
Window Duration:
137 days (includes 25 buffer days)
Analysis includes 25 buffer days before meta start for statistical confidence. "Insufficient data" means <60% of hero's matchups have ≥10 matches each.
26 heroes • 93 players • Based on meta expectations
| Hero | Positioning | Expected Win Rate | vs Baseline | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oldhim | Excellent | 58.8% | +8.8% | |
Players using Oldhim in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kayo | Excellent | 55.5% | +5.5% | |
Players using Kayo in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Ira, Crimson Haze | Excellent | 55.4% | +5.4% | |
Players using Ira, Crimson Haze in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Briar | Excellent | 55.2% | +5.2% | |
Players using Briar in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Valda Brightaxe | Excellent | 55.0% | +5.0% | |
Players using Valda Brightaxe in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Terra | Good | 53.9% | +3.9% | |
Players using Terra in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Bravo, Flattering Showman | Good | 53.8% | +3.8% | |
Players using Bravo, Flattering Showman in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dorinthea | Good | 53.5% | +3.5% | |
Players using Dorinthea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kano | Good | 52.9% | +2.9% | |
Players using Kano in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Aurora 25% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 52.5% | +2.5% | |
Players using Aurora in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dromai | Neutral | 51.1% | +1.1% | |
Players using Dromai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Fai | Neutral | 50.9% | +0.9% | |
Players using Fai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Iyslander | Neutral | 50.3% | +0.3% | |
Players using Iyslander in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Rhinar | Neutral | 49.1% | -0.9% | |
Players using Rhinar in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Lexi | Poor | 47.4% | -2.6% | |
Players using Lexi in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Arakni 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 47.3% | -2.7% | |
Players using Arakni in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Enigma | Poor | 47.1% | -2.9% | |
Players using Enigma in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Riptide 60% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 46.8% | -3.2% | |
Players using Riptide in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Florian | Very Poor | 42.1% | -7.9% | |
Players using Florian in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dash | Very Poor | 39.1% | -10.9% | |
Players using Dash in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Nuu 50% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 38.4% | -11.6% | |
Players using Nuu in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Levia 36% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 37.1% | -12.9% | |
Players using Levia in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Azalea 58% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 32.1% | -17.9% | |
Players using Azalea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Arakni, Web of Deceit 39% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 29.3% | -20.7% | |
Players using Arakni, Web of Deceit in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Data Doll MKII 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 22.8% | -27.2% | |
Players using Data Doll MKII in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Tuffnut 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 16.3% | -33.7% | |
Players using Tuffnut in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
Tournament Meta Summary
10
Well-Positioned Heroes
4
Neutral Heroes
12
Poorly-Positioned Heroes
45.9%
Average Expected WR
Meta Analysis: Highly diverse meta (10.7%)