Showdown: San Diego 2026
United States
SAGE
98
7 rounds + Top Cut
Expected win rates if each hero faced a random opponent from this tournament's field. Weighted by actual hero representation.
Rolling Window Analysis
Meta Period:
Compendium of Rathe Release Season
Total Matches Analyzed:
26569
Analysis Window:
Jan 19, 2026 - Jul 23, 2026
Window Duration:
185 days (includes 25 buffer days)
Analysis includes 25 buffer days before meta start for statistical confidence. "Insufficient data" means <60% of hero's matchups have ≥10 matches each.
26 heroes • 93 players • Based on meta expectations
| Hero | Positioning | Expected Win Rate | vs Baseline | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oldhim | Excellent | 57.9% | +7.9% | |
Players using Oldhim in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kayo | Excellent | 55.5% | +5.5% | |
Players using Kayo in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Ira, Crimson Haze | Excellent | 55.4% | +5.4% | |
Players using Ira, Crimson Haze in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Briar | Excellent | 55.2% | +5.2% | |
Players using Briar in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Bravo, Flattering Showman | Good | 54.0% | +4.0% | |
Players using Bravo, Flattering Showman in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Kano | Good | 52.9% | +2.9% | |
Players using Kano in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Valda Brightaxe | Good | 52.3% | +2.3% | |
Players using Valda Brightaxe in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Terra | Neutral | 51.9% | +1.9% | |
Players using Terra in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dorinthea | Neutral | 51.6% | +1.6% | |
Players using Dorinthea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Fai | Neutral | 50.9% | +0.9% | |
Players using Fai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Iyslander | Neutral | 49.5% | -0.5% | |
Players using Iyslander in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Aurora 28% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 49.3% | -0.7% | |
Players using Aurora in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dromai | Neutral | 49.2% | -0.8% | |
Players using Dromai in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Rhinar | Neutral | 48.3% | -1.7% | |
Players using Rhinar in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Lexi | Neutral | 48.2% | -1.8% | |
Players using Lexi in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Enigma | Neutral | 48.0% | -2.0% | |
Players using Enigma in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Arakni 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 47.3% | -2.7% | |
Players using Arakni in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Riptide | Very Poor | 43.9% | -6.1% | |
Players using Riptide in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Florian | Very Poor | 43.6% | -6.4% | |
Players using Florian in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Dash | Very Poor | 39.4% | -10.6% | |
Players using Dash in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Levia 36% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 37.5% | -12.5% | |
Players using Levia in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Nuu 56% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 37.4% | -12.6% | |
Players using Nuu in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Azalea | Very Poor | 36.1% | -13.9% | |
Players using Azalea in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Arakni, Web of Deceit 39% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 34.4% | -15.6% | |
Players using Arakni, Web of Deceit in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Tuffnut 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 26.4% | -23.6% | |
Players using Tuffnut in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
 Data Doll MKII 0% coverage (need ≥60%) | Insufficient Data | 22.8% | -27.2% | |
Players using Data Doll MKII in this tournamentLoading players... | ||||
Tournament Meta Summary
7
Well-Positioned Heroes
9
Neutral Heroes
10
Poorly-Positioned Heroes
46.1%
Average Expected WR
Meta Analysis: Highly diverse meta (8.9%)