Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-6-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Seth M Anderson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Parker (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Carrano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nik Katebian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Luginbill (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs None ()
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Trevor Baker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Win | |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.