Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Singapore 2025

Kano, Dracai of Aether

Kano, Dracai of Aether

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Richard Gillingham

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

Dash I/O

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Dash I/O

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Dash I/O

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.