Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2025 - Czechia
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kryštof Halmo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michal Faldyna (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lukáš Barborik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.