Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2025 - Czechia
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Inlé Kratochvílů (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kryštof Halmo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Igor Makarev (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.