Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2025 - Czechia
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Hurda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.