World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Germany (National Festival Germany 2025: Blitz) - Azalea (Blitz)

Azalea

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Staubesandt

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jan Höckendorff (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Roger Braun (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mark Jansen

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Plaschnick (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Niclas Zühlke

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthias Gigler

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.