Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ísak thomas Birgisson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Þór Guðnason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fannar Larusson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Þór Jóhannesson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sindri Guðmundsson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.