Arakni, Marionette
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Baldur Guðmundsson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sindri Guðmundsson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ragnar Daði Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ragnar Daði Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.