Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
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3rd • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vaidas Kovalevskis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.