Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs janis bernhards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15
Round 2: Loss vs Arturs Melnikovs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matiss Maculans (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.