Marlynn at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Mexico
Marlynn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
65:35
R6 Draft
Round 6: Win vs Carlos Gerardo Lopez (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R7 Draft
Round 7: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R8 Draft
Round 8: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R6 | Puffin | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.