Verdance at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Spain
Verdance
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Méndez (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Javier Fernández Valls (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
70:30
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Unknown)
70:30
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Folch (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro (Unknown)
70:30
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Ferran Riu (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Win vs Mario Donoso (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Database | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.