Aurora at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Spain
Aurora
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Albert Serrano Gomez (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Javier Díez (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Josep Giné (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Advent of Thrones | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Database | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.