Vynnset, Iron Maiden at World Championship: Barcelona
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Fuad Omar (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mat Collett (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.