Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2026 - Latvia
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aleksejs Titovs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kristiāns Kokars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kristiāns Kokars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.