Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Snorri Hafthorsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bjarki már Ingólfsson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ragnar Daði Sigurðsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sigurður Þormóðsson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.