Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aðalheiður alex ósk Kristjànsdóttir (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Kristinsson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ásgeir Jóhannesson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.