Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christos Christou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Knvs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
Round 3: Win vs Pavlos Georgiou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.