
Betsy, Skin in the Game
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 2: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.