Zyggy Starlight
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomas Liutvinas (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tomas Liutvinas (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.