Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Lithuania
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maksimas Irician (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mantas Navickas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.