% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.