Marlynn at Battle Hardened: Taipei 2025
Marlynn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 3-0-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
8.2
Diff
R8
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Unknown)
45:55
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Nicholas On (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
8.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.