Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025 - Czechia
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Hurda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michal Faldyna (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.