Dorinthea at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Denmark (nats sunday event)
Dorinthea
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Felix Larsen Stenderup (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Emil Spangenberg (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.