Arakni, Marionette
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 5-0-0
100%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lara Gensous (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Bernardo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Audrey Martin (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Bernardo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.