Gravy Bones at National Championship 2025 - Slovakia
Gravy Bones
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Katrenčin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrej Marčan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Schneider (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.