Alexander Held — Arakni, Marionette

Alexander Held

Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed

10-17

Record

37.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

67%

Meta

-3.8

Perf Δ

13.4

Surprise

5.2

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Hamburg 2026

Calling • August 22nd-23rd, 2026 • dropped • 2-4

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ростислав Морванюк (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alkis Sejati (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Fritz Jenicek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Calling • April 25th-26th, 2026 • dropped • 4-3

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lukas Thurow (Pleiades, Superstar)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Battle Hardened: Vienna

Battle Hardened • December 13th, 2025 • 49th • 3-4

57%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Erik Ganser (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.37
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.44
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Calling: Hamburg 2025

Calling • October 4th-5th, 2025 • dropped • 1-6

57%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Anger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.82
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	0	5	0%	5
Arakni, Marionette	1	2	33%	3
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	2	33%	3
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	50%	2
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	1	50%	2
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	1	50%	2
Bravo, Showstopper	0	1	0%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	1	0%	1
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	0	1	0%	1
Pleiades, Superstar	1	0	100%	1