Simone Paterniti — Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Simone Paterniti

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X · Classic Constructed

10-11

Record

47.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf Δ

10.1

Surprise

4.6

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened Munich 2025

Battle Hardened • September 6th, 2025 • 60th • 4-4

62%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.71
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.42

Calling: Copenhagen 2025

Calling • August 23-24th, 2025 • dropped • 3-3

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Battle Hardened: Lucerne 2025

Battle Hardened • August 9th, 2025 • 36th • 3-4

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Colombo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Scheerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Wülser (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.40
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	3	2	60%	5
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	2	1	67%	3
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	1	50%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	50%	2
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	0	1	0%	1
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	0	1	0%	1
Puffin, Hightail	1	0	100%	1