Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Showdown • May 10th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Nhu y Tran thi (Ira, Crimson Haze)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Justin Kemmerer (Iyslander)
Round 4: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Ira, Crimson Haze)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ira, Crimson Haze | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Iyslander | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
 Briar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |