Paul Conaty — Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed
4-5
Record
44.4%
Win %
2
Events
9
Rounds
78%
Meta
-0.9
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • 22nd • 2-4
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Walsh (Puffin, Hightail)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tony Gleeson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Chambers (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest)
Round 4: Loss vs David Moore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaye philpott (Jarl Vetreiði)
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Sheelan (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
National Championship • July 5th, 2025 • dropped • 2-1
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Walsh (Jarl Vetreiði)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round 3: Win vs Brendan McManus (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Puffin, Hightail | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |