智彰 吉村 — Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose · Classic Constructed
7-4-1
Record
58.3%
Win %
1
Events
12
Rounds
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
National Championship • July 5th-6th, 2025 • 24th • 7-4-1
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiki Koike (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði)
Round 8: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs ユウマ ハマザト (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
Round 12: Draw vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Draw |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Betsy, Skin in the Game | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Dorinthea Ironsong | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Fang, Dracai of Blades | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |