Alexander Vore — Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Alexander Vore

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed

74-42

Record

63.8%

Win %

Events

116

Rounds

78%

Meta

+13.7

Perf Δ

55.1

Surprise

43.0

Difficulty

Wins

1st Place Battle Hardened Phoenix United States '25

Top 8

Top 8 Pro Tour Las Vegas United States '26 Top 8 Calling Auckland New Zealand '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • 3rd • 10-1

100%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

6.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arvin Bernardo (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Jarl Vetreiði)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact)

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Christian Hauck (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette)

70:30

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R17 CC

Round 17: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.17
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.22
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R12	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.14
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.64
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.17
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.74
R16	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.45
R17	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

US National Championship 2026

National Championship • June 12th-14th, 2026 • 17th • 6-3

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Czarny (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Grace (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.34
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.42
R12	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.33
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.19

Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Pro Tour • April 10th-12th, 2026 • 129th • 3-6

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.69
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Memphis 2026

Calling • March 21st-22nd, 2026 • dropped • 3-4

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Lee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Payten Climer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Connor Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Charlie Manning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.20
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Calling: Montréal 2026

Calling • February 28th - March 1st, 2026 • 14th • 9-3

83%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

5.6

Surp

4.8

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guyllaume Dupéré-Demers (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nikola Pouliot (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.02
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.43
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.59
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.91
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Calling: Seattle

Calling • December 13th-14th, 2025 • 26th • 8-4

58%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.36
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.52
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.60
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.11
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

World Championship: Philadelphia 2025

World Championship • November 14th-16th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.36
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.00
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Battle Hardened: Phoenix 2025

Battle Hardened • August 23rd, 2025 • 1st • 9-1

90%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Vore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.12
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.19
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.30
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.44
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.72
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.73
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed

Calling • August 9-10th, 2025 • 3rd • 9-4

92%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaan Cekli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.24
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.48
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.62
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.97
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 1-2

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • 13th • 6-3

67%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Hoang (Jarl Vetreiði)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Hughes Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

15:85

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.49
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.67
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.31
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.72
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • dropped • 4-3

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonah Freund (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.32
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

World Championship: Osaka

World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • 29th • 4-5

33%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Uzuri, Switchblade)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julio Anthony (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood)

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.08
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.55
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.63
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.22
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R15	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Arakni, Marionette	6	8	43%	14
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	7	4	64%	11
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	9	1	90%	10
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	6	3	67%	9
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	6	2	75%	8
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	5	1	83%	6
Aurora, Shooting Star	2	3	40%	5
Kassai of the Golden Sand	4	1	80%	5
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	3	1	75%	4
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	4	0	100%	4
Jarl Vetreiði	3	1	75%	4
Dash I/O	2	1	67%	3
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	2	33%	3
Puffin, Hightail	1	2	33%	3
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	2	1	67%	3
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	2	33%	3
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	1	50%	2
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	2	0	100%	2
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	0	2	0%	2
Valda, Seismic Impact	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	1	0	100%	1
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	0	100%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	0	1	0%	1
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	1	0	100%	1
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	1	0	100%	1
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	1	0	100%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1
Uzuri, Switchblade	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	0	100%	1