Liam Holden — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
18-13
Record
58.1%
Win %
5
Events
31
Rounds
84%
Meta
+1.9
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 4-3
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Einoras Laskis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Milosz Sankowski (Aurora, Shooting Star)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-2
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Metodi Nikolaev (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Aurora, Shooting Star)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • February 8, 2025 • 20th • 5-2
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Jarl Vetreiði)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Aurora, Shooting Star)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Laloy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rodrigo Peinado (Viserai, Rune Blood)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • dropped • 4-3
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Dash I/O)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round 3: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 大貴 浅海 (Viserai, Rune Blood)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • dropped • 2-3
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Dash I/O)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 5 | 3 | 0 | 62% | 8 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Dash I/O | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Bravo, Showstopper | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kano, Dracai of Aether | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |