Lucas Barding — Arakni, Marionette
Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed
18-15
Record
54.5%
Win %
5
Events
33
Rounds
52%
Meta
+1.0
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 3-3
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • September 6th, 2025 • 24th • 5-3
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Montes (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O)
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • August 17th, 2025 • dropped • 3-2
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jarron Idleman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact)
Round 5: Loss vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • February 2, 2025 • 22nd • 4-3
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Baker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
Round 6: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
Calling • January 31-February 1, 2025 • dropped • 3-4
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Viserai, Rune Blood)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dash I/O | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 4 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Fang, Dracai of Blades | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
 Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Valda, Seismic Impact | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |