Daniel Ferrara — Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger · Classic Constructed
23-10-1
Record
67.6%
Win %
4
Events
34
Rounds
44%
Meta
+8.0
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • 3rd • 9-2
45%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
Round 3: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • 76th • 6-3
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
Round 14: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 6-3
22%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 4 | 1 | 1 | 67% | 6 |
Aurora, Shooting Star | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 4 |
Nuu, Alluring Desire | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Fang, Dracai of Blades | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Kassai of the Golden Sand | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |