Matthew Ferrell — Valda Brightaxe
Valda Brightaxe · Silver Age
4-7
Record
36.4%
Win %
2
Events
11
Rounds
73%
Meta
-1.5
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Showdown • February 15th, 2026 • 41st • 3-4
86%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Nick Tiller (Kayo)
Round 2: Loss vs Arnel Gancenia (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Broten (Briar)
75:25
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo)
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Strom (Briar)
75:25
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Negrillo (Dromai)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai | 75% | Win |
Calling • February 14th-15th, 2026 • dropped • 1-3
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
15:85
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Murray (Kano)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Valda Brightaxe)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Kano)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 15% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Kano | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Kayo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Dromai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Fai | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Oldhim | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 | |
| Valda Brightaxe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |