Matthew Bowar — Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Matthew Bowar

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose · Classic Constructed

9-8

Record

52.9%

Win %

Events

Rounds

59%

Meta

+0.1

Perf Δ

7.1

Surprise

2.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Kansas City 2025

Battle Hardened • August 17th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.16
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.63
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Calling: Kansas City 2025

Calling • August 16-17th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.48
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 3-2

80%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.11
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	1	67%	3
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	0	3	0%	3
Arakni, Marionette	1	1	50%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0%	1
Puffin, Hightail	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1