Joseph McKinley — Prism, Awakener of Sol

Joseph McKinley

Prism, Awakener of Sol · Classic Constructed

10-8

Record

55.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

56%

Meta

+1.0

Perf Δ

8.4

Surprise

4.8

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

US National Championship 2026

National Championship • June 12th-14th, 2026 • dropped • 2-4

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Logan Walton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.77
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 2-2

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • dropped • 6-2

50%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

20:80

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.59
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.22
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.13
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Fang, Dracai of Blades	2	1	67%	3
Prism, Awakener of Sol	2	1	67%	3
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	2	33%	3
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	0	100%	1
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	1	0	100%	1
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	0	1	0%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	0	100%	1