Matthew Renz — Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Matthew Renz

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed

48-21

Record

69.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

72%

Meta

+11.6

Perf Δ

32.9

Surprise

23.6

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Calling Kansas City United States '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Kansas City 2026

Calling • August 29th-30th, 2026 • 49th • 8-4

58%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.8

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ty Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Witt Lucas (Betsy, Skin in the Game)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aron Zeller (Dash I/O)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.17
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.60
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R9	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.95
R12	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • dropped • 4-2

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R12	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Calling: Memphis 2026

Calling • March 21st-22nd, 2026 • 47th • 7-5

58%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Katsu, the Wanderer)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Calling: Montréal 2026

Calling • February 28th - March 1st, 2026 • dropped • 1-3

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Gargiule (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Columbus 2026

Calling • January 17th-18th, 2026 • 10th • 9-3

92%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ty Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.10
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.65
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.41
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

World Championship: Philadelphia 2025

World Championship • November 14th-16th, 2025 • 34th • 8-1

56%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

5.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

75:25

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.28
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.57
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.71
R12	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.21
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.75

Calling: Kansas City 2025

Calling • August 16-17th, 2025 • 3rd • 11-3

86%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.05
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.14
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.20
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.43
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.57
R13	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.52
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	7	2	78%	9
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	6	1	86%	7
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	6	1	86%	7
Arakni, Marionette	3	3	50%	6
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	4	1	80%	5
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	3	2	60%	5
Dash I/O	2	2	50%	4
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	2	33%	3
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	1	50%	2
Fang, Dracai of Blades	2	0	100%	2
Jarl Vetreiði	1	1	50%	2
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	0	100%	1
Arakni, Huntsman	0	1	0%	1
Betsy, Skin in the Game	1	0	100%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	1	0	100%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	1	0%	1
Pleiades, Superstar	0	1	0%	1
Puffin, Hightail	0	1	0%	1
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	0	1	0%	1
Valda, Seismic Impact	1	0	100%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1
Zyggy Starlight	1	0	100%	1