Mariano Rivero — Arakni, Marionette
Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed
16-10
Record
61.5%
Win %
4
Events
26
Rounds
69%
Meta
+2.4
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • 9th • 5-2
71%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Javier Díez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Calling • November 29th-30th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolás Parejo Bouzas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette)
Round 7: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
World Championship • November 14th-16th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
National Championship • July 5th-6th, 2025 • 5th • 5-2
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Rivas (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Alfonso (Katsu, the Wanderer)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Arakni, Huntsman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Fai, Rising Rebellion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kassai of the Golden Sand | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Katsu, the Wanderer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Puffin, Hightail | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Valda, Seismic Impact | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |