Erik Skinstad — Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Erik Skinstad

Vynnset, Iron Maiden · Classic Constructed

9-16

Record

36.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

56%

Meta

-3.4

Perf Δ

11.0

Surprise

3.9

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2026 - Norway

National Championship • July 4th, 2026 • dropped • 0-3

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Torbjørn Tollaksen (Valda, Seismic Impact)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Erik Gjone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Calling • April 25th-26th, 2026 • dropped • 2-4

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Arakni, Marionette)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.05
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Calling: Bologna 2025

Calling • June 14th-15th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.67
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 1-3

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fred God (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Melissa Steinman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eliot JOBE (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jason Nakata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nico Grieco (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.73
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.40

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	1	67%	3
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	50%	2
Fang, Dracai of Blades	1	1	50%	2
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	0	2	0%	2
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	2	0%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	0	1	0%	1
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Aurora, Shooting Star	0	1	0%	1
Dash I/O	1	0	100%	1
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0%	1
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	0	1	0%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	0	1	0%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	1	0	100%	1
Valda, Seismic Impact	0	1	0%	1