Joel Grizzelle — Jarl Vetreiði

Joel Grizzelle

Jarl Vetreiði · Classic Constructed

18-12-3

Record

54.5%

Win %

Events

Rounds

58%

Meta

+2.5

Perf Δ

14.1

Surprise

10.6

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Atlanta 2026

Calling • October 3rd-4th, 2026 • dropped • 4-3-1

62%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Steiner (Jarl Vetreiði)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alex Lindley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Silvester Nava (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joe Yang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Proctor (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Edwin Ahn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Anderson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.75
R6	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Calling: Kansas City 2026

Calling • August 29th-30th, 2026 • dropped • 5-3-1

56%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Justin Anthony (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Robbie McReynolds (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.02
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.04
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • 80th • 6-2-1

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brendan Klempa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Draw vs Justin Salmon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.50
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.00
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R15	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.25

Battle Hardened Houston: 2024

Battle Hardened • December 7, 2024 • 41st • 3-4

43%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Arnell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Ramsey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leo Loera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

10:90

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

10:90

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Liam Bristol (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.41
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	D	Win%	Matches
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	0	2	1	0%	3
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	2	0	0	100%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	0	50%	2
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	1	0%	2
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	0	2	0	0%	2
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	2	0	0	100%	2
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	1	0	50%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	0	1	50%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	1	0	50%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	1	0	0	100%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	0	100%	1
Dash I/O	1	0	0	100%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	0	0	100%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	1	0	0	100%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	0	0	100%	1
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	1	0	0	100%	1
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	1	0	0	100%	1
Olympia, Prized Fighter	0	1	0	0%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	0	1	0	0%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	0	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	1	0	0%	1
Zyggy Starlight	0	1	0	0%	1