Elly Bird — Fai, Rising Rebellion

Elly Bird

Fai, Rising Rebellion · Classic Constructed

7-2

Record

77.8%

Win %

Events

Rounds

44%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.62
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.61
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.01
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.49
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	1	0	100%	1
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	1	0	100%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	0	1	0%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	0	100%	1