Peter Buddensiek — Aurora, Shooting Star

Peter Buddensiek

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

18-11

Record

62.1%

Win %

Events

Rounds

93%

Meta

+3.1

Perf Δ

14.1

Surprise

8.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Toronto 2025

Battle Hardened • January 11, 2025 • 33rd • 5-3

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Aurora, Shooting Star)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Corey Watson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kris Mayor (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Conor Grant (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Philip Dickinson (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.36
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • 12th • 9-3

83%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs aiden anable (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Woodland (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ian Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.35
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.67
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.83
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R10	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

World Championship: Osaka

World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • 112th • 4-5

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Terry Yuen (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oliver Phi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Dash I/O)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Oh Oh (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	4	1	80%	5
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5	0	100%	5
Nuu, Alluring Desire	3	2	60%	5
Dash I/O	0	4	0%	4
Viserai, Rune Blood	2	1	67%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	2	0%	2
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1