Lucas Sobral — Briar
Briar · Silver Age
9-5
Record
64.3%
Win %
2
Events
14
Rounds
64%
Meta
+1.8
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Showdown • February 8th, 2026 • 21st • 7-2
56%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
Round 2: Win vs Machi C (Oldhim) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Enigma)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Zach Evans (Briar)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Briar)
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea)
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs James Clark (Rhinar)
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar | 55% | Win |
Calling • February 7th-8th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Harry McAlpine (Ira, Crimson Haze)
Round 2: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Maxime Forest (Bravo, Flattering Showman)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Lexi)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bravo, Flattering Showman | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Ira, Crimson Haze | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
| Briar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Rhinar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Dorinthea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Enigma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Lexi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Oldhim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |