Lucas Oswald — Arakni, Marionette
Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed
42-14
Record
75.0%
Win %
5
Events
56
Rounds
66%
Meta
+12.7
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • 15th • 5-4
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kiran Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Arakni, Huntsman)
Round 3: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Jarl Vetreiði)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
Calling • April 11th-12th, 2026 • 19th • 10-4
29%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
Round 6: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
Round 10: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
Round 14: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 10th-12th, 2026 • dropped • 4-1
60%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
Calling • March 21st-22nd, 2026 • 5th • 11-2
92%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Calling • January 17th-18th, 2026 • 2nd • 12-3
73%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel VanDyke (Dorinthea Ironsong)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arakni, Marionette | 4 | 2 | 0 | 67% | 6 |
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 67% | 6 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 50% | 6 |
| Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 5 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 5 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Kassai of the Golden Sand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Arakni, Huntsman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Dash I/O | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Fang, Dracai of Blades | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
 Prism, Awakener of Sol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Betsy, Skin in the Game | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Katsu, the Wanderer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Pleiades, Superstar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Valda, Seismic Impact | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |