Lucas Bortolucci

Dorinthea Ironsong · Classic Constructed

21-18

Record

53.8%

Win %

Events

Rounds

38%

Meta

+4.0

Perf Δ

17.2

Surprise

11.4

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Battle Hardened São Paulo Brazil '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2026 - Brazil

National Championship • June 28th-29th, 2026 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs André Cavalcanti (Dorinthea Ironsong)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.20

National Championship 2025 - Brazil

National Championship • June 28th-29th, 2025 • 17th • 4-2

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Guilherme Brito silva (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.45
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R11	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.51
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.76

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 4-5

33%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Aurora, Shooting Star)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jordan Akers (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Josh Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Aurora, Shooting Star)

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.63
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.60
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 1-4

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Aurora, Shooting Star)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Aurora, Shooting Star)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.24
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Battle Hardened: São Paulo 2025

Battle Hardened • March TBD, 2025 • 3rd • 7-2

56%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Unknown)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O)

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.58
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.53
R5	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.86
R8	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.75
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Calling: São Paulo 2025

Calling • March 22-23, 2025 • dropped • 3-3

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Renan Albertino (Aurora, Shooting Star)

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.35
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.40
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.83
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	3	5	38%	8
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	3	25%	4
Dash I/O	3	0	100%	3
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	2	0%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	2	0	100%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	1	50%	2
Unknown	2	0	100%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	2	0%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	0	1	0%	1
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	0	100%	1
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	0	100%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	0	1	0%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	0	100%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	0	1	0%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	1	0%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	0	100%	1